EcoLur Informational NGO has developed a report entitled “‘Energy’ Sector in Context of Climate Change, Reflected in CEPA and Armenia’s Climate Policy.” The report was prepared within the framework of the “The Energy Paradigm Changed: Addressing New Challenges and Problems to Green Transition in South Caucasus Countries” project with the support of Brot für die Welt, the Protestant Development Service.
Within the scope of the study, the “energy” sector has been considered in the context of climate change, as reflected in the Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between the Republic of Armenia and the European Union, the European Atomic Energy Community, and their Member States, as well as in Armenia’s climate policy.
In particular, within the framework of Measure 130 of the CEPA Implementation Roadmap, it is planned to develop a concept and a national action plan for adaptation to climate change, which will be aimed at the planning and implementation of activities consistent with the requirements and measures for mitigation, reduction, and prevention of climate change in the agricultural, economic, and other sectors that may be affected by climate change.
Within the framework of that measure, a number of important documents have been adopted in recent years for the energy sector. In 2021, the Government adopted the National Climate Change Adaptation Action Program and List of Measures for 2021–2025. According to the action program of that decision, it was envisaged to develop an adaptation program for the “energy” sector, but the program was not adopted. It was decided to include it in the sectoral strategy. In 2022, the Government adopted the Program on Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy for 2022–2030. In 2023, the Government adopted the Long-Term Strategy for Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development of the Republic of Armenia until 2050.
The report states that the energy sector in Armenia is the main source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, accounting for about 64%.
Armenia’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) plans to double the share of renewable energy in the energy balance by 2030. The reduction of GHG emissions is planned to be carried out through the introduction of new renewable and nuclear capacities.
Long-Term Strategy for Low Greenhouse Gas Emission Development of the Republic of Armenia envisages that:
- Solar energy capacity will be increased by 1500 MW by 2050, as a result of which, during 2023–2050, GHG emissions will be reduced by about 26,000 GgCO₂ eq.
- The second unit of the nuclear power plant, to be commissioned from 2036, will allow reducing emissions by 3675 GgCO₂ eq. by 2050.
- The capacity of wind power plants is planned to reach 500 MW by 2040, with which the development will reduce GHG emissions by 10,360 GgCO₂ eq. in 2031–2050.
- The capacity of small hydropower plants is planned to reach 430 MW by 2040. In 2040–2050, as a result of the construction of three more HPPs with a total capacity of 241 MW, GHG emissions in the hydropower sector will be reduced by 2425 GgCO₂ eq. in 2031–2050.
In addition, a significant reduction of fugitive emissions of natural gas is also expected, due to the increase of the share of renewable sources in the structure of electricity production. By 2050, fugitive emissions values will decrease under three scenarios:
- Without measures scenario: 6567 GgCO₂ eq.
- With measures scenario: 1563 GgCO₂ eq.
- With additional measures scenario: 980 GgCO₂ eq.
August 28, 2025 at 17:00